New England Patriots vs. Miami Dolphins Pick & Prediction NOVEMBER 24th 2024

Stadium: Sun Life Stadium Miami Gardens
Logo New England Patriots
VS
Logo Miami Dolphins
44.5
OPENER
-6.5

44o -110
CURRENT
-7.5 -105

+280
MONEYLINE
-350

0
SCORE
0

Preview and Prediction

Embarking on a journey to face the Miami Dolphins has been far from simple for the New England Patriots in the last 11 years.

Since 2013, the Patriots have only managed to win 2 out of 9 games against the Dolphins in Miami Gardens, Florida. This Sunday, they will attempt to break this streak and secure a rare victory.

First-year coach Jerod Mayo has been a part of New England's struggles in the Sunshine State. He spent his entire playing career (2008-2015) with the Patriots and then served as inside linebackers coach from 2019-2023 before taking on the role of head coach.

Mayo is determined to leave the past behind and focus on the present as the Patriots (3-8) prepare to face the Dolphins (4-6) on Sunday.

"I won't address our past struggles in Miami with the team, even though they might be listening to me right now," Mayo stated. "But what I will say is that every game is unique... It's a tough place to play, not because of the noise, but we just haven't been able to come out on top."

Patriots quarterback Drake Maye, who was drafted third overall this year, has given Mayo hope that they can turn things around against the Dolphins. Maye showed progress in last Sunday's game against the Los Angeles Rams, completing 29 out of 39 passes for 282 yards, two touchdowns, and one interception.

Dolphins quarterback Tua Tagovailoa has been impressed with Maye's performance and is looking forward to competing against him.

"I have a lot of respect for his game," Tagovailoa said. "He's a rookie, so there will be bumps in his journey, but he has shown flashes of what he can do both inside and outside the pocket. I'm excited to compete against him."

In their last game, Tagovailoa threw for 288 yards and three touchdowns on 28-for-36 passing, leading the Dolphins to a 34-19 victory over the Las Vegas Raiders. One of his top targets was former Patriots tight end Jonnu Smith, who had six catches for 101 yards and two touchdowns.

Miami has won their last two games after a three-game losing streak that began with a 15-10 victory against the Patriots in Week 5.

"We will stick to our game plan and adjust if necessary," Tagovailoa said, referring to the Dolphins' familiarity with the Patriots' strategies. "We are prepared for whatever they throw our way."

On Wednesday, cornerback Kendall Fuller (concussion) and offensive tackle Terron Armstead (knee) did not participate in practice for the Dolphins. Six players, including star wide receiver Tyreek Hill (wrist) and cornerback Jalen Ramsey (knee), were limited.

For the Patriots, defensive end Deatrich Wise (foot), offensive tackle Vederian Lowe (shoulder), and defensive tackle Jaquelin Roy (neck) did not practice on Wednesday. Safety Kyle Dugger was limited due to an ankle injury, and defensive end Keion White (knee) did not participate in full practice.

PREDICTION
New England Patriots
19
27
Miami Dolphins

New England Patriots vs. Miami Dolphins Recap OCT 29TH 2023

Tyreek Hill caught eight passes for 112 yards and one touchdown in a milestone performance and Tua Tagovailoa passed for 324 yards and three touchdowns as the Miami Dolphins notched a 31-17 victory over the New England Patriots on Sunday at Miami Gardens, Fla.

Hill became the first player to reach 1,000 receiving yards in the first eight games of the season during the NFL's Super Bowl era. Tagovailoa completed 30 of 45 passes with one interception while improving to 6-0 in career starts against Patriots coach Bill Belichick.

Jalen Ramsey (knee) notched an interception in his first game of the season for Miami (6-2). He was acquired from the Los Angeles Rams in the offseason.

Jaylen Waddle caught seven passes for 121 yards and one touchdown, Cedric Wilson Jr. had a scoring reception and Raheem Mostert rushed for a touchdown for the Dolphins.

Mac Jones was 19-of-29 passing for 161 yards, two touchdowns and one interception for New England (2-6). Kyle Dugger had an interception and sack for the Patriots.

Hill caught a 7-yard pass from Tagovailoa in the third quarter to go over 100 yards on the day and reach 1,005 for the season. He finished the game with 1,014.

Three other players have reached 1,000 in eight games from earlier times in pro football history. Hall of Famers Don Hutson (1942, Green Bay Packers) and Elroy "Crazy Legs" Hirsch (1951, Los Angeles Rams) did so in the NFL and Charley Hennigan (1961, Houston Oilers) accomplished it in the former American Football League.

New England struck first on Jones' 24-yard touchdown pass to Kendrick Bourne with 3:32 left in the first quarter.

The Dolphins scored the next 17 points, beginning when Hill streaked past J.C. Jackson of the Patriots to easily catch a 42-yard scoring pass with 22 seconds left in the quarter.

Tagovailoa tossed a 1-yard touchdown pass to Wilson with 6:10 left in the first half. Jason Sanders tacked on a 30-yard field goal with 26 seconds left to give Miami a 17-7 halftime lead.

Chad Ryland booted a 38-yard field goal to bring New England within seven early in the third quarter. Mostert gave the Dolphins a 24-10 lead when he scored from the 1 with 7:35 remaining in the period.

Jones threw a 3-yard touchdown pass on fourth down to JuJu Smith-Schuster to bring the Patriots within seven with 8:30 left in the game.

But the Dolphins restored order when Waddle caught a 31-yard scoring pass from Tagovailoa with 2:43 remaining.